2011 Critics Choice Awards: My Predictions on who SHOULD WIN and who WILL WIN

The Critics Choice Television Awards are a new award show this year and desire to look past ‘academy favorites’ and give awards where justice is due.

Nominations were announced yesterday and there were quite a few pleasant surprises in the mix of usual contenders. It will be interesting to see who will come home with the awards with the fresh mix of new blood against awards darlings. Here is the complete list of nominees, as well as my picks on who should win, who will win, and my thoughts on the category at large.

BEST DRAMA SERIES
Boardwalk Empire
Dexter
Friday Night Lights
Fringe
Game of Thrones
The Good Wife
Justified
The Killing
Mad Men
The Walking Dead

Who Should Win: Friday Night Lights: If not only for the incredible finale, the fifth season of this NBC & DirecTV darling was outstanding, with bringing us to really care about the new class of students at East Dillon, while bringing back the right people to properly close out one of the best Drama series in history. The fact that this show is almost award-less is a real tragedy.

Who Will Win: Game of Thrones: This is a tough category to pick, as their are quite a few shows that the critics just love. I think its a close call between the new Game of Thrones, Boardwalk Empire, and Mad Men.

My Thoughts: Without a doubt does Friday Night Lights deserve this award, if not only because its the last season, but an incredible season and finale at that. Its hard to imagine the show will all of a sudden dominate an awards show after being so often overlooked. They were at least nominated, so the best has a chance, unlike other categories later.

BEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Kyle Chandler, Friday Night Lights
Michael C. Hall, Dexter
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
William H. Macy, Shameless
Timothy Olyphant, Justified

Who Should and Will Win? Michael C. Hall: With Bryan Cranston of Breaking Bad not being nominated, I think Dexter returns to his winning ways.

My Thoughts? Without Bryan Cranston in the mix, it will be close between Michael C Hall, Steve Buscemi, and Jon Hamm, but with Dexter’s context, it should be Michael C Hall. I would like to see Kyle Chandler take home the award for his incredible portrayal of Coach Taylor, but I don’t see him taking down all 3 of the frontrunners.

BEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Connie Britton, Friday Night Lights
Mireille Enos, The Killing
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
Katey Sagal, Sons of Anarchy
Anna Torv, Fringe

Who Should and Will Win? Katey Sagal: Her work in Sons of Anarchy is just outstanding, and the respect that she garners in the industry is too much to overlook her powerful performance. Her Golden Globe win solidifies her as the front runner for the CCTA and the upcoming Emmy awards.

My Thoughts? Aside from her work with Aimee Teegarden in season 2, Connie Britton has been outstanding in the fifth season while fighting her herself in her marriage and fighting for her students at work. I would love to see her win, but it’s not likely here. I would have liked to see Marishka Hargitay get a nomination here for SVU, which she is always outstanding, instead of Enos. Sagal’s biggest challenge will be Julianna Margulies from The Good Wife, but Sagal should have this one in the bag.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Alan Cumming, The Good Wife
Walton Goggins, Justified
Shawn Hatosy, Southland
John Noble, Fringe
Michael Pitt, Boardwalk Empire
John Slattery, Mad Men

Who Should Win? John Noble: Fringe continues to amaze and Noble continues to elevate the material that he is doing. Unfortunately the show being not as strong as others will keep him from winning.

Who Will Win? Alan Cumming: People love The Good Wife and he is next in line behind Julianna Marguiles, so with her lack of win in the category, expect Cumming to win for The Good Wife.

My Thoughts?: This category is solid, but not an exciting category in the least bit. Blah-Blah and moving on.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Michelle Forbes, The Killing
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
Margo Martindale, Justified
Kelly Macdonald, Boardwalk Empire
Archie Panjabi, The Good Wife
Chloë Sevigny, Big Love

Who Should and Will Win? Margo Martindale: I have not seen, but heard that this performance is what anchored the season of Justified. Seems like a lock here.

My Thoughts?: Big omission here is a total newcomer, as she wasn’t much of a thought in prior season either, but Stacey Oristano was the heart and soul of Friday Night Lights fifth season. The way she brought stripper/new mom Mindy to life was outstanding, and aside from the finale, the best part of season five.

BEST COMEDY SERIES
Archer
The Big Bang Theory
Community
Glee
Louie
The Middle
Modern Family
The Office
Parks and Recreation
30 Rock

Who Should Win? The Big Bang Theory: This show continues to improve, and its laugh-out-loud funny week after week. The additions to the cast just increased the greatness all around. Against these nominees, this show deserves the win.

Who Will Win? Modern Family: People love this show, but I don’t get it. I think the acting is outstanding, but the forced comedy and fake realism just doesn’t do it for me. With that said, the show will probably pick up this award to add to its others.

My Thoughts?: The best comedy of the year isn’t even nominated, so this award should come with an asterisk. Cougar Town again upped the ante this year and is the best comedy on television. The writing, cast, acting, everything is outstanding and it delivers week after week. I would also have liked to see How I Met Your Mother get in this list as well. The show is constantly funny, and extremely real in their portrayal of actual people living their lives together. The fact that Glee is nominated at all shows how ridiculous this category is.

BEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Steve Carell, The Office
Louis C.K., Louie
Charlie Day, It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia
Joel McHale, Community
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory

Who Should and Will Win? Jim Parsons: Jim does such an outstanding job with Sheldon, that even Carell with his last season doesn’t warrant a pity award.

My Thoughts?: This is a fairly solid group of nominees and my only requests would be to see Josh Radnor from How I Met Your Mother and Johnny Galecki from The Big Bang Theory get some recognition, but both will probably never receive proper due.

BEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
Courteney Cox, Cougar Town
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Patricia Heaton, The Middle
Martha Plimpton, Raising Hope
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation

Who Should Win? Courtney Cox: Courtney is doing her best work as the red wine guzzling Jules Cobb on the best comedy on TV. After constantly being snubbed for F.R.I.E.N.D.S., it’s time for her to get her due. It should come here, and then at the Emmy’s and Golden Globes. That’s how good she is in this show.

Who Will Win?: Amy Poehler: Everyone loves her and without Toni Collette in the running and Tina Fey long past 300 Rock’s best, they will probably go with Poehler.

My Thoughts?: As mentioned earlier, Toni Collette is not nominated, so that really leaves this category open. Cox should get the award, but not sure if they will give it to her. Would have loved to see Kaley Cuoco get recognition for holding her own against all of the talented nerd guys from The Big Bang Theory.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Neil Patrick Harris, How I Met Your Mother
Nick Offerman, Parks and Recreation
Ed O’Neill, Modern Family
Danny Pudi, Community
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family

Who Should Win? Neil Patrick Harris: Barney was again one of the funniest characters on television and NPH’s acting takes him to the next level. Overlooked way too many times already by the Emmy’s, he should get his due here.

Who Will Win? Nick Offerman: The Modern Family guys will split their vote and that leaves 3 people left. NPH is too mainstream possibly for the Critics choice, so I will go with Poehler’s partner in crime and say Offerman will win.

My Thoughts? This category doesnt even include the best Modern Family choice: Rico Rodriguez and should include Josh Hopkins from Cougar Town. Without those 2, I’m hoping the MF guys split their vote and Pudi and Offerman split the “these shows are highbrow and un-funny” vote to leave this with NPH.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock
Jane Lynch, Glee
Busy Philipps, Cougar Town
Eden Sher, The Middle
Sofía Vergara, Modern Family

Who Should Win? Sophia Vergara: She is downright hilarious and its really tight between her and Busy Phillips of Cougar Town.

Who Will Win? Jane Lynch: I’m hoping that this will not happen, but she seems to be everyone’s favorite thing right now. She plays the same note every episode and the unrealistic character shouldn’t be rewarded. If not her, Sophia Vergara will probably win, with no complaints.

My Thoughts? I would like to see Busy Phillips win for Cougar Town, as her Laurie is downright ridiculous. Also would like to see Cobie Smulders get some recognition for HIMYM. Her Robin Sparkles alter-ego is fantastic.

BEST REALITY SERIES
Extreme Makeover: Home Edition
Hoarders
The Real Housewives of Beverly Hills
Sister Wives
Undercover Boss

Who Should and Will Win? Hoarders??: Really have no idea, but with this lackluster group of options, I will go with the shock factor of Hoarders.

My Thoughts? I am not even sure what to say with this category. Jersey Shore should probably be here, as its the most culturally relevant at this point.

BEST REALITY SERIES — COMPETITION
The Amazing Race
American Idol
Dancing with the Stars
Project Runway
RuPaul’s Drag Race
Top Chef

Who Should Win? The Amazing Race: Can never go wrong with The Amazing Race, with the locations and visuals they bring you. Plus the seasons are always entertaining.

Who Will Win? Top Chef: Process of elimination at this point. I think people are sick of TAR winning all of these types of awards. American Idol had the ratings, but the show was not a great improvement from before. Dancing is far too cheesy. Project Runways move to Lifetime didn’t do it any favors and RuPaul just wont have the legs to win this, but that would be my upset pick if anything.

My Thoughts? Without Survivor in the mix, WHERE IS IT?!?, The Amazing Race stays as the class of the genre and deservedly so.

BEST REALITY SHOW HOST
Tom Bergeron (Dancing with the Stars)
Cat Deeley (So You Think You Can Dance)
Ty Pennington (Extreme Makeover: Home Edition)
Mike Rowe (Dirty Jobs)
Ryan Seacrest (American Idol)

Who Should and Will Win? Ryan Seacrest: Was able to keep the show on track and within its timeframe this year, which is a vast improvement for last year. He’s the face of the biggest show on television and does a great job.

My Thoughts? Where the hell is Jeff Probst? He is the gold standard at hosting and does just as great on location as he does with the live reunion shows. The award is a joke without him in the field and the winners know it. There is a reason he wins the Emmy each year, and its wrong for the Critics to take that away.

BEST TALK SHOW
Chelsea Lately
The Daily Show
The Ellen DeGeneres Show
Jimmy Kimmel Live!
The Oprah Winfrey Show

Who Should Win? Chelsea Lately: She isn’t afraid to take on guests with tough questions, and her panels are always hilarious. The 30-min format works in her advantage.

Who Will Win? The Oprah Winfrey Show: Oprah will probably win for the fact that its her last year and she was on for 25 years and changed pop culture every year. If not her, the Critics would probably go with The Daily Show since they seem to like the unfunny.

My Thoughts? Late Night with Jimmy Fallon is the best late night show by far, with his outstanding sketches and guest star performances. No one else is watched more on hulu the next day. 3 words: Thank You Notes!

The Critics Choice Television Awards will be handed out June 20. You can watch the show live online on VH1’s website or on TV two days later on ReelzChannel at 8PM.

photo courtsey: VH1

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